Tool
How many boxes to pull it?
Enter a pull rate and see the real numbers: boxes on average, the 50% and 95% thresholds, and what it would cost. Set it to any figure's ratio from its page.
~144
boxes on average
100
for a 50% chance
430
for a 95% chance
Each box is an independent draw, so the odds never "build up": a run of misses doesn't make the next box likelier. The averages above are expected values, not guarantees. Prices use whatever currency you type.
Frequently asked
How many blind boxes do I need to pull a secret?
For a figure that appears in 1 of every N boxes, it takes about N boxes on average. To be roughly 95 percent sure of landing it you need about N times three. A 1 in 144 secret, for example, averages around 144 boxes and about 430 to be 95 percent confident.
Do my odds improve after a run of misses?
No. Each box is an independent draw with no memory, so a streak of misses does not make the next box likelier. The only way to raise your real chance is to open more boxes.
Is buying a whole case guaranteed to include the secret?
Not always. A sealed case usually guarantees the full set of regular figures, but secret and super-secret figures are seeded at a lower rate than one per case, so a case does not guarantee one.